BMKG : La Nina Berkembang di Samudra Pasifik, Waspadai Dampaknya di Indonesia
WWW.BERITATERKINI.CO.ID, Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika (BMKG) melaporkan, hingga akhir September 2020, pemantauan terhadap anomali iklim global di Samudra Pasifik Ekuator menunjukkan bahwa anomali iklim La Nina sedang berkembang.
Indeks ENSO (El Nino-Southern Oscillation) menunjukkan suhu permukaan laut di wilayah Pasifik tengah dan timur dalam kondisi dingin selama enam dasarian terakhir dengan nilai anomali telah melewati angka -0.5°C, yang menjadi ambang batas kategori La Nina.
Perkembangan nilai anomali suhu muka laut di wilayah tersebut masing-masing adalah -0.6°C pada bulan Agustus, dan -0.9°C pada bulan September 2020.
“BMKG dan pusat layanan iklim lainnya seperti NOAA (Amerika Serikat), BoM (Australia), JMA (Jepang) memperkirakan La Nina dapat berkembang terus hingga mencapai intensitas La Nina Moderate pada akhir tahun 2020. Diperkirakan akan mulai meluruh pada Januari-Februari dan berakhir di sekitar Maret-April 2021,” disampaikan Deputi Bidang Klimatologi Badan Meteorologi Klimatologi dan Geofisika Herizal secara tertulis, yang diterima setkab.go.id pada Sabtu (3/10).
Catatan historis menunjukkan bahwa La Nina dapat menyebabkan terjadinya peningkatan akumulasi jumlah curah hujan bulanan di Indonesia hingga 40 persen di atas normalnya. Namun, dampak La Nina tidak seragam di seluruh Indonesia.
“Pada Bulan Oktober-November, peningkatan curah hujan bulanan akibat La Nina dapat terjadi hampir di seluruh wilayah Indonesia kecuali Sumatera. Selanjutnya pada Bulan Desember hingga Februari 2021, peningkatan curah hujan akibat La Nina dapat terjadi di Kalimantan bagian timur, Sulawesi, Maluku-Maluku Utara dan Papua,” terang Herizal.
Di Bulan Oktober ini, lanjutnya, beberapa zona musim di wilayah Indonesia diperkirakan akan memasuki musim hujan, di antaranya: Pesisir timur Aceh, sebagian Riau, Jambi, Sumatra Selatan, Pulau Bangka, Lampung, Banten, sebagian Jawa Barat, sebagian Jawa Tengah, sebagian kecil Jawa Timur, sebagian Kalimantan Barat, sebagian Kalimantan Tengah, Kalimantan Selatan, sebagian Kalimantan Timur, sebagian Kalimantan Utara, sebagian kecil Sulawesi, Maluku Utara dan sebagian kecil Nusa Tenggara Barat.
Diingatkan Herizal, peningkatan curah hujan seiring dengan awal musim hujan disertai peningkatan akumulasi curah hujan akibat La Nina berpotensi menjadi pemicu terjadinya bencana hidro-meteorologis seperti banjir dan tanah longsor.
“Masyarakat dihimbau agar terus memperbaharui perkembangan informasi dari BMKG dengan memanfaatkan kanal media sosial infoBMKG, atau langsung menghubungi kantor BMKG terdekat,” ujar Herizal. (Red/Aj)
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